Feed aggregator
A new kind of aircraft departs an MIT classroom and arrives at an Ohio factory
A former MIT class project is becoming an $850 million effort to manufacture a new kind of aircraft in Ohio.
Electra began as an idea for a hybrid plane that could take off from shorter runways than traditional airplanes but have more range and speed than all-electric aircraft. Now, like other great MIT projects, it’s making an impact far beyond campus.
The company’s fixed-wing aircraft is designed to make travel easier, especially for people who don’t live in the immediate vicinity of a major airport. The plane features a smaller, more efficient engine than traditional planes, along with batteries to give it added power during takeoffs and landings.
With a range of around 1,200 miles and a cruising speed of around 200 miles per hour, the plane could improve the travel experience for many kinds of trips while cutting down on fuel use. And, given the much shorter runway needs and quieter operation than traditional planes, the plane can leverage unique access points such as barges, parking lots, and soccer fields to take off and land instead of traditional airports.
“Helping people travel between 50 and 250 miles is the sweet spot for this technology,” says Electra Director of Technology Development Chris Courtin SM ’19, PhD ’24. “This can be a better option than driving or commercial airlines for many kinds of trips. There’s a lot of people traveling in that range and a huge amount of friction in existing ground and air transport systems. This could be a big benefit to those people.”
Courtin has worked on the hybrid plane concept since its inception, first as part of a class project at MIT, then as a teacher’s assistant, and finally as part of his PhD thesis. The company was founded by another alumnus, John Langford ’79, SM ’83, SM ’85, PhD ’87, and counts two MIT professors — Mark Drela and John Hansman — as its founding technical advisors.
“The company has really benefited from a strong collaboration with MIT,” Courtin says. “One of the compelling things about MIT is it gives people space to marry the theoretical side with the practical side — to actually go build the airplane and see if people will buy it.”
Electra has already built and flown a two-seated version of its plane. Last month, the company announced an $850 million investment to scale production of its nine-passenger aircraft in Springfield and Clark County, Ohio. The investment, which is expected to create 1,975 new jobs, means Electra will be building the next chapter of aviation in the state where engine-powered human flight first began.
From concept to company
The origins of Electra date back to a 2017 project among graduate students in MIT class 16.886 (Air Transportation Systems Architecting). Electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft were garnering excitement at the time, and Courtin’s group wanted to compare that approach to alternative designs.
“It was an open-ended, project-based class where you look at developments in aerospace,” Courtin says. “My group realized short takeoff and landing aircraft had a lot of advantages over eVTOL for getting people where they wanted to go. We started exploring using the same technology — lightweight, electric motors suitable for aviation — to make a new aircraft, which we now call the ultra-short takeoff and landing aircraft.”
The idea was to use batteries and small electric motors to shorten the runway and landing space of a fixed-wing aircraft while leveraging blown wind to travel farther distances in the sky than would be possible with electric motors alone.
The concept was developed further in several senior design classes co-taught by Drela and Hansman, while Courtin served as a teacher’s assistant. In the classes, student collaborators built a subscale model of the aircraft to prove it would work, testing it in MIT’s Wright Brothers Wind Tunnel and in flight. Courtin went on to work on parts of the concept for his PhD.
In 2019, John Langford, who had been running the aircraft company Aurora Flight Sciences, which had recently been acquired by Boeing, got involved. Electra was officially formed that year.
As a first step, Electra’s team built the EL2, a two-seated version of its aircraft. That included designing and testing the hybrid propulsion system. The EL2 completed its first test flights in 2023 and has since completed over 200 flights.
The aircraft has a gas-powered generator located in its nose and two batteries under the floor, both of which feed the propellers during takeoff and landing. When cruising, the aircraft uses the generator, which can also charge the batteries.
“The gas generator is like a traditional turbine engine used in a conventional aircraft, only instead of driving a propeller or fan it drives an electric generator,” Courtin explains. “That feeds power to the eight motors on the wing. It allows you to have a smaller and more efficient engine because you can size it for cruising, not takeoff and landing conditions.”
The eight motors create a blown lift effect that allows the aircraft to take off and land in areas about the length of a soccer field, much shorter than the runways for conventional airplanes.
For travelers, “the big benefit is you can save a lot of time,” Courtin says. “You don’t need to go to an airport, and you don’t have to go to a train station.”
Operators could also maximize existing infrastructure at airports:
“If you’re three hours away from the nearest major airport, there’s a lot of friction in that,” Courtin says. “With Electra, we could fly you to the nearest major airport, and you don’t need to use a runway, so it doesn’t add to congestion at these very low-capacity places.”
Electra’s aircraft are also more affordable than traditional aircraft and far more quiet.
“The large number of propellers means you can make them much quieter than if you only had one or two,” Courtin explains. “That’s important because helicopters are restricted from operating in places they otherwise could because of the noise.”
Scaling up
Construction on Electra’s 96-acre Ohio manufacturing facility will begin next year. The facility’s initial phase will be capable of producing 400 of its nine-seat aircraft each year. The next phase will expand capacity to around 800 aircraft per year.
Electra’s team could see their aircraft shuttling people to major airports for longer trips or ultimately eliminating the need for conventional airports entirely.
“If you don’t have an existing airport, that’s a very difficult thing to build these days,” Courtin says. “But finding a soccer field-sized area is not hard, especially with our noise reductions.”
Electra’s team is also exploring applications around military logistics, cargo transport, and humanitarian missions.
For the passenger aircraft application, Electra’s team believes that as it scales production, it will be able to make the passenger aircraft accessible to a broad swath of travelers.
“If we can keep the fixed-wing design simplicity and make this large enough, then the per-seat cost could get to a range where a lot of people would have access to this,” Courtin says. “It wouldn’t just be a luxury product, so it could help a lot of people.”
The secret love life of the longfin squid
Squid have occupied New England’s maritime imagination for centuries, from fishermen’s tales of strange tentacled creatures to the widely publicized giant squid reports along North Atlantic coastlines in the 1800s. Today, we turn a curious eye toward the longfin inshore squid (Doryteuthis pealeii) — the “Boston squid” — which has long been an important part of regional commercial fisheries. These squid thrive in the emerald green depths off the coast of Massachusetts, where low visibility is characteristic of the turbid, nutrient-rich waters.
Keith Ellenbogen, MIT Sea Grant resident artist and acclaimed underwater photographer, knows these waters well. On a good day, he might have 20 feet of visibility beneath the surface. But even with the clearest conditions, these swift squid evaded Ellenbogen’s lens for months.
In 2023, over 2.85 million pounds of longfin squid — likely over 6 million individual squid — were landed commercially in Massachusetts, with a value exceeding $2.82 million. Consistently among the top 10 species landed commercially in Massachusetts, the longfin squid shares the ranks with the iconic American lobster, Atlantic surf clam, and sea scallop, underscoring its enduring significance in the state’s seafood industry.
In 2024, landings came in under 750,000 pounds, roughly a quarter of the previous year’s catch. Likewise, the spring 2024 trawl survey documented in the Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries Annual Report recorded a historic low in longfin squid biomass, following a record high in 2023.
But this drop, while significant, doesn’t necessarily spell trouble for the species. Longfin squid often show large fluctuations in abundance from year to year. Their short lifespan of about six to nine months, combined with their sensitivity to shifting ocean conditions, makes their population dynamics inherently unpredictable.
Kimberly Hyde, a biological oceanographer with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)’s Northeast Fisheries Science Center (NEFSC), notes that NEFSC research scientists have expanded squid research over the past few years, including a two-year study on longfin squid to better understand their life history and track their maturity and readiness to spawn. Across the Northeast, scientists are also collaborating with the fishing industry through efforts including the Longfin Squid Biological Sampling Program (SQUIBS), Collaborative SQUid Size Monitoring (SQUISM), and the Squid-Squad, a highly interdisciplinary team of scientists, industry members, and managers with a common goal to improve squid science. Still, much of this cephalopod’s story remains hidden from sight.
After years of trying to find and photograph a squid spawning aggregation, Ellenbogen chartered a vessel and worked with a network of local fishermen to locate concentrations of squid beneath the surface. In New England’s emerald-green, nutrient-rich coastal waters, visibility was limited, and although he knew he was directly above the spawning grounds, finding a cluster of eggs and squid 30 to 40 feet below the surface was far from easy.
“As I descended through the emerald-green waters of Cape Cod, I couldn’t see anything at first,” Ellenbogen recalls. “I knew I was in the right area, but the seafloor seemed empty. Then I noticed a few faint shadows moving in the distance.”
As he swam closer, the scene slowly revealed itself.
“First came the squid, then the egg masses, and then hundreds more animals appearing out of the green water. Suddenly I found myself surrounded by squid flashing colors, courting, competing, and spawning,” Ellenbogen says. “It felt like being in a theater, watching a carefully choreographed performance unfold all around me.”
Dozens of squid hovered intently in a circle with arms and tentacles stretching toward the focus of attention: a large pale cluster of eggs fixed to a bed of slipper shells and fingerlike seaweed. Thousands of gelatinous, translucent egg capsules swayed softly in the current. Male and female pairs broke from the outer circle with ceremonial precision, darting inward to spawn. Their alienlike bodies pulsed and flickered with waves of color, from flares of rust-red, golden yellow, and iridescent pink to flashes of lightning white. Their brief lives had culminated here in this critical moment of coordination to give rise to the next generation.
Longfin squid live fast and die young, exhibiting incredible exponential growth throughout their lifespan of less than one year. They emerge from egg capsules as planktonic hatchlings — paralarvae — that already look like tiny 1.5 millimeter simplified versions of their adult form.
Still small but fast-growing, juveniles feast on planktonic prey in coastal, surface waters and move deeper in the water column as they grow larger, settling on a life closer to the seafloor. As natural-born ambush and pursuit predators, they begin hunting small crustaceans and other invertebrates — including other squid — with jet propulsion and 10 grasping arms and tentacles.
Like octopuses, squid have chromatophore organs, pigmented cells controlled by nerves and muscles through their central nervous system. Contraction or dilation of these sacs results in mesmerizing iridescence and color shifts. Their color-changing behavior serves several purposes, including camouflage, courtship, and communication through ancient visual language. And to add an extra layer of curiosity, squid themselves are effectively colorblind. Their eyes are well-adapted to detect contrast, brightness, movement, and even polarization, but not to perceive hues like we do.
According to a report from the NEFSC, longfin squid can reach sexual maturity at a mantle length of just 8 centimeters. Nearing adulthood, they migrate offshore to overwinter in deeper, warmer waters along the continental shelf. At night, they form large schools grouped by body size and move upward in the water column to feed. Growth remains rapid and temperature-dependent, with males growing faster and larger than females.
Longfin squid spawn year-round with seasonal and geographic peaks. In New England waters, spawning has been reported from May to August. Egg clusters, or mops, like the one Ellenbogen photographed, act like a hub. As reported by NOAA Fisheries, female squid lay fertilized egg capsules that contain about 150 to 200 eggs each in clusters attached to the ocean bottom. They return repeatedly to deposit multiple clutches of eggs over several weeks, with a typical female laying a total of 3,000 to 6,000 eggs.
Spawning typically occurs in seasonal pulses tied to water temperature and other conditions, sometimes triggering large spawning aggregations — dense gatherings of squid depositing and fertilizing eggs. Males and females gather in the spawning grounds, and density increases until individuals are constantly interacting.
But reproductive biology and behavior are complicated for longfin squid. The NEFSC report highlights unique behavior: Females can store sperm from spawning events for later use, and eggs in the same capsule from a single female may have multiple males from multiple spawning events.
Consort males, typically the larger males, pair up with a single female during spawning. They swim closely alongside her, often guarding her with their arms, and use their size to intimidate competition. Sneaker males, smaller unpaired squid, use stealth and speed to sneak into position with paired females. Males deposit bundles of spermatophores into the female’s mantle cavity or in a pouch located near her head.
The competition is guided by visual and chemical signals, including pheromones indicating reproductive readiness, rapid color and pattern changes, as well as strategic arm postures and whole-body displays. A 1999 paper published by the Marine Biological Laboratory catalogued 34 visual displays involving colors, brightness, spots, stripes, iridescence, and polarization signals, as well as 17 specific positions and movements used by squid on the spawning grounds.
Squid were seen flashing white as a signal to repel other squid. Squid displaying this component are almost always engaged in mate guarding, egg laying, or competitive confrontations. Like humans, female squid can blush, displaying a dark patch on one side of the mantle. But when a squid blushes, it functions as a repellent to courting males. And as captivating as these colorful displays can be, squid communication largely remains an encrypted secret to even the most curious scientists.
“Keith’s rare glimpse of squid in their natural environment beautifully bridges art and science, reminding us that we still have much to learn,” says Hyde, who has centered her research at NOAA on marine ecosystems and fisheries.
For most people, squid are known solely as seafood or as shadowy legends, chameleons of the sea. Yet each spring, beneath the cool waters of Cape Cod, millions of longfin squid gather in this remarkable reproductive event, a reminder of the rich biodiversity and productivity of Massachusetts marine ecosystems.
MIT Sea Grant works to support sustainable fisheries and to promote environmental education and stewardship of our coastal and ocean resources. As MIT Sea Grant’s resident artist, Keith Ellenbogen is working on a long-term project to document extraordinary species and ocean events that unfold just off our coast, revealing hidden moments that few have the opportunity to witness. The longfin squid is one of our region’s most valuable marine resources, and these images help reveal one of the most extraordinary events unfolding right off our coast.
Black Hat State of Security Vendors
Andy Ellis has a roundup of the security vendors at Black Hat this year.
Key Takeaways: We have entered into an AI world. While nearly half of booths didn’t directly mention AI or agents in their taglines, the effects of AI are everywhere. Multiple spaces (Identity, SaaS, AppSec, Data) have almost every vendor leading with AI; existing unsolved problem areas just got worse.
At the same time, there’s a clear trichotomy in the market: tools that tell you how bad things are; tools that stop adversaries, and tools that prevent problems from occurring. While you’d suspect that the tools that fix things would dominate, the tools that merely tell you how bad things are seem to be frustratingly plentiful...
Brain circuit keeps tabs on what just happened to aid judgment of what’s happening now
A brain must constantly cope with the highly variable, fast-paced nature of the world when trying to judge what’s going on around it. On one hand, it has to be open to whatever new sensory information may come its way, but on the other hand, just to keep up, it has to try to leverage prior experience to make predictions about what seems to be happening.
In a new study published in Science, MIT neuroscientists identify a circuit that links a sensory decision-making region with one that advises it on how much sensory information just changed.
“This circuit organizes a comparison between what has just happened versus what is happening now in the sensory world in a manner that can be used to act,” says study senior author Mriganka Sur, Newton Professor in The Picower Institute for Learning and Memory and MIT’s Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences.
Study lead author Ning Leow Phd ’23, a former graduate student in Sur’s lab who is now a postdoc at A*STAR in Singapore, says the study in mice sheds light on closely analogous circuitry in humans, in which an area of the prefrontal cortex (the anterior cingulate cortex, or ACC) makes sensory decisions. The new study shows it bases those decisions on advice about immediate past history from an area of the thalamus called the pulvinar (though in mice, it’s called the lateral posterior thalamus, or LP).
“The brain does not evaluate each new event from scratch,” Leow says. “The pulvinar has traditionally been studied for its role in attention and filtering visual information, but we found that it was also important for comparing present information with the immediate past and highlighting meaningful changes to influence whether we maintain or update a decision.”
As part of Sur’s long-standing interest in how the brain’s cortex integrates sensory perception and learning to produce behavior, Leow and Sur began comprehensively mapping the copious inputs to the LP-ACC circuit, culminating in a paper in 2022. It was clear from that study how the circuit would seem well-positioned to help focus attention, which is what it was known for at the time.
But in thinking more deeply about what focused attention is for, and about how these well-connected regions seemed to sit at the center of not only attention but also perception and action, Sur and Leow hypothesized that they might also have a hand in guiding decisions based on sensory information. The new study presents multiple lines of evidence that it does.
The findings not only shed light on a fundamental function of the brain, Sur says, but could also be applicable to studies of autism, in which many patients show significant differences in the predictions they make about the sensory world. Often, this manifests as difficulty filtering out stimuli that neurotypical people are able to regard as recurring, and therefore mundane.
Which way?
To conduct the study, the researchers trained lab mice to play a video game in which dots on a screen would drift around, but at least some would move together in the same direction (left or right). In each trial, the mice had to discern that trend. From one trial to the next, then, the sensory cue could vary not only by the direction of movement, but also by how what proportion of dots were participating. For instance, on one trial maybe 64 percent of the dots would move left and on the next trial maybe 16 percent of the dots would move right. In this way, the researchers could measure a whole continuum of differences from one trial to the next.
Meanwhile, as mice played the game, the scientists used a two-photon microscope to record the activity of the LP-ACC circuit and the response of neurons in the ACC. In some experiments, they used a technique called optogenetics to artificially activate the circuit.
By tracking how mice performed the task trial after trial, the researchers were able to see that the mice indeed factored in not only what they were seeing in the moment, but also what they had just seen previously. For instance, when mice guessed right, they were very likely to repeat their guess if the new cue was very similar to the prior one, and very unlikely to if the cue was very different. But if they guessed wrong, then the opposite was true: They wouldn’t repeat that decision if the cue was similar to the last, but would if it looked very different.
Looking in the brain
Of course, behavioral observations only indicated that the mice indeed compared new cues to prior ones. Determining whether that was indeed because of the LP-ACC circuit required the researchers to use optogenetics to perturb it (by stimulating extra activity in the LP’s inputs into the ACC). For instance, optogenetic perturbation of the circuit in the left brain hemisphere made mice less likely to guess that dots were moving right, and perturbation in the right hemisphere made mice more likely to guess dots were moving to the right. But in both cases, the extent of these deviations from normal behavior was directly proportional to the difference between the current cue and the previous one. In other words, perturbing the circuit disrupted how mice used recent sensory history when evaluating new evidence, Leow says.
“That showed the pathway is causally involved in the comparison process that influences how current evidence is interpreted, rather than merely carrying the information,” Leow says.
Moreover, using the microscope imaging (which visualizes calcium levels in neurons, a close proxy of the electrical activity), the researchers extensively analyzed the activity patterns of the LP input into the ACC and how ACC neurons reacted to that input.
“The main takeaway is that the LP and ACC were performing different jobs,” Leow says. “The pulvinar doesn’t appear to be making the decision itself. Instead, it sends that history-referenced sensory comparison to the frontal cortex. The ACC then transforms that information into the neural activity that predicts the animal’s final choice.”
Essentially, the pulvinar advises the ACC on the degree of change so that the frontal cortex can consider whether it’s time to change a guess. After all, if a mouse is guessing right and little is changing, why not keep on trucking? But if there’s a big change, then it might make sense for the mouse to re-evaluate what it’s thinking.
It turns out, the brain has this dedicated circuit for doing so.
In addition to Leow and Sur, the paper’s other authors are Arundhati Natesan, Alexandria Barlowe, Sofie Ährlund-Richter, Tianyu (Cindy) Luo, and Mehrdad Jazayeri.
The National Institutes of Health, a MURI grant, the Simons Foundation Autism Research Initiative, A*STAR, and the Freedom Together Foundation funded the research.
Meteorite dust holds records of magnetism that may have helped form the sun
Around 4.6 billion years ago, the solar system was little more than a giant ball of gas and dust. Over the next few million years, this “solar nebula” underwent a huge transformation, flattening into a disk of matter that then condensed to form the central sun and orbiting planets.
Scientists have assumed that the early solar system was shaped mainly through gravity. But a new study finds that magnetism also likely played a role.
MIT scientists have discovered records of ancient magnetism in the oldest samples of meteorites known today. The team analyzed microscopic grains embedded in a meteorite that was discovered in Antarctica in 2008. These grains, called calcium-aluminum-rich inclusions, or CAIs, originally formed during the solar system’s first 200,000 years, making the samples the oldest known solar system material.
The findings suggest that a magnetic field existed very early on, during the time of the solar nebula. The researchers estimate that this nebular magnetic field was stronger than Earth’s magnetic field today, and likely played a significant role in pulling together primordial matter to form the early sun.
“This transition, from a spherical cloud to a protoplanetary disk, is one of the most significant events in all of solar system history,” says Benjamin Weiss, the Robert R. Shrock Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences at MIT. “It has long been theorized that gravity caused this, but our measurements show magnetism likely played a role.”
Weiss and his colleagues report their discovery in a paper appearing this week in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. The study’s MIT co-authors are first author Cauê Borlina PhD ’22, Elias Mansbach PhD ’24, and Nilanjan Chatterjee, along with Xue-Ning Bai of Tsinghua University, Po-Yen Tung and Richard Harrison of Cambridge University, François Tissot of Caltech, and Kevin McKeegan of the University of California at Los Angeles.
Spinning grains
Magnetic fields are generated by matter that is electrically charged and moving around. In the very early solar system, the collapsing cloud of gas and dust could have whipped up a plasma of charged particles. As these charges spun through the developing disk, they could have produced and sustained a magnetic field.
If this were the case, Weiss and his colleagues reasoned that such early magnetism would have affected material in the disk. As this material condensed, tiny magnetic minerals would have locked in the strength of the magnetic field, preserving its original intensity over billions of years. If these minerals somehow made it to Earth for scientists to measure, their “remanent magnetization” would be evidence that a magnetic field indeed existed and could have played a role in shaping the solar system.
In fact, the team has previously discovered evidence of a magnetic field, as early as 2 million years into the solar system’s formation. At that time, scientists believe that the sun was already in place, and that the planets were just starting to come together. Thus, the magnetic field Weiss measured likely played a part in the formation of the early planets.
“Nowadays people don’t debate whether magnetism is present when planets are forming. But the debate is around the very early solar system, before planets are forming, when there’s just a disk,” says Borlina, who led the new study as an MIT graduate student and is now an assistant professor at Purdue University. “That’s where the debate still resides, and that’s where we’re operating now.”
Magnetic records
For their new study, the team investigated whether a magnetic field could have existed even earlier in the solar system, when the sun was first coming together. They analyzed samples of DOM 08006, a meteorite that was discovered in 2008 in Dominion Range, a mountain range located along the East Antarctic Ice Sheet. Since it was first recovered, the meteorite has been studied extensively.
DOM 08006 is one of the most primitive meteorites discovered, and it contains mineral grains that date back to the earliest stages of solar system development, possibly even before the sun was formed. Surprisingly, the meteorite has managed to keep its original composition and minerals.
“Other meteorites went through many different processes over this 4.5 billion year history,” Weiss says. “They were formed in the solar nebula, then added to bodies with water, then got destroyed, moved to the asteroid belt, and then landed here. But somehow, DOM has experienced less alteration than any other meteorite.”
If the early solar system did harbor a magnetic field, records of that field could still be in place in some of DOM’s ancient mineral grains, including CAIs.
“We know they are the oldest things we have of the early solar system,” Borlina says. “But CAI’s are very complex and are not all the same, even within a 1-millimeter piece of the meteorite. So we have to carefully identify what types they are.”
From small samples of the parent meteorite, the team isolated tiny grains and identified a handful of CAIs that contained inherently magnetic minerals such as iron. They then put the grains through a series of tests to measure any magnetism they still carry.
The team identified traces of a magnetic field in the ancient grains. Based on their measurements, they estimate that a magnetic field, of about 150 to 600 microteslas, existed in the early solar system. This field strength is about three to 12 times greater than the Earth’s magnetic field today.
“We think these kinds of magnetic fields were helping to move gas from the protoplanetary disk, in toward this central star, the sun,” Borlina says. “Gravity is also playing a role. But we are now showing that, if you want to fully understand how the sun and planets formed, you should include magnetic fields in the ingredients that make them.”
This research was supported, in part, by NASA.
Generating scenarios for extreme events, without extreme data
Can a city’s seawall stand up to a blockbuster storm? Will a region’s power grid hold against record-breaking heat? And can a town’s fire-fighting resources contain a major wildfire?
To answer these questions, communities will first need to know how such extreme events could unfold. How far is a wildfire likely to spread? How much of a region might a storm impact? How long could a heat wave last?
But extreme events are notoriously difficult to anticipate. By their nature, they are outliers. In the history of record keeping, extreme events are sporadic and rare. Yet most methods that assess a region’s risk depend on extreme events of the past to characterize even more extreme, worst-case scenarios in the future.
Now, MIT engineers have developed a tool that generates plausible extreme events and worst-case scenarios, and maps their characteristics, such as an extreme storm’s likely duration, intensity, and area of impact. The key to their method is that it does not need to know about previous extreme events in order to generate plausible future extreme events.
Instead, the method, in the form of a machine-learning algorithm, learns from a dataset, such as a region’s daily weather records and maps. This record may or may not contain past extreme deviations, such as record-setting heat or rain. The team’s algorithm takes a statistical approach to learn from the available data, to exclude implausible weather scenarios. The method then generates plausible extreme events that are likely to occur in a region with a given frequency (such as once every 100 years), and projects how those extreme events might look in terms of their size, intensity, and duration.
“We are trying to model extreme, unprecedented events that no one has seen before, that are not in the dataset,” says Kai Chang, an MIT graduate student in mechanical engineering and affiliate of the MIT Center for Computational Science and Engineering.
“An event like Hurricane Katrina is something that happens every 30 to 40 years,” adds Themis Sapsis, the William I. Koch Professor of Mechanical and Ocean Engineering at MIT, a core member of the Center for Computational Science and Engineering, and an affiliate of the MIT Institute for Data, Systems, and Society. “What will be the Katrina that happens every 100 years? How bad will it be? That’s exactly what we’re trying to quantify, to help planners prepare for plausible extreme scenarios.”
Beyond weather events, the approach, which the team has dubbed Extreme Event Aware, or “η-learning,” can be applied to other fields, such as robotic navigation and financial markets.
“Financial market crashes are extreme events that are a complicated combination of things, involving many different sectors,” Chang says. “What is the interaction that leads to a market crash? That is something that this method could explore.”
Sapsis and Chang detail their new method in an open-access paper that appeared on Aug. 20 in the journal Nature Communications.
“Riskier than everything”
To estimate a region’s risk of an extreme weather event, planners, policymakers, and insurance companies typically ask questions such as “What does a once-every-100-year storm look like for New York City?” For answers, they use computer simulations that must be trained on data that includes extreme, once-in-a-century events, in order to learn the conditions leading up to those events and generate scenarios of how those events might look in the future.
“These methods assume there are very disastrous events that we have seen in the dataset, and they build a method to either estimate the risk of those events, or they try to predict exactly the events that have happened,” Chang says. “We are trying to see: What do unprecedented extreme events look like that are riskier than everything that has happened before and yet are still plausible?”
For example, if the most extreme rainfall measurement ever recorded in New York City is 200 millimeters, what kind of storm would produce an even more extreme measurement, of 300 millimeters? Such an event has never been recorded before and yet could still be plausible. City planners would want to know where such a storm would hit, how big an area it would cover, and how intense it would be. A simulation of the storm could help them assess infrastructure and plan reinforcements.
“We want to predict maps of these worst-case scenarios,” Sapsis says. “There is no method that does this efficiently to predict events that happen rarely.”
Extreme learning
The team’s new algorithm generates plausible, unprecedented extreme scenarios, without needing to train on previous extreme event data. To do so, the algorithm combines and learns statistics, or probabilities, about the relationships between two types of data: point statistics and spatial maps.
To demonstrate, the researchers applied the method to generate maps of future extreme precipitation events over the continental United States. The researchers began with 25 years of hourly precipitation maps, which they pooled into daily maps. From the full record, they computed point statistics describing how often the maximum rainfall across a map reached a given level. They then trained the algorithm on paired low- and high-resolution spatial maps from just the first six months of the record, which contained few or no examples of the most extreme rainfall levels.
From these data, the algorithm learned how patterns in low-resolution maps correspond to detailed, high-resolution precipitation maps. It then used the point statistics to constrain the rainfall extremes represented in those maps. This combination enables the algorithm to generate plausible spatial patterns for events more extreme than those represented in the training data — for instance, the possible locations, sizes, and intensities of a once-in-a-century rainfall event with a maximum of 300 millimeters.
A user can prompt the trained algorithm with a question such as, “What could a once-in-a-century storm look like in New York City?” The algorithm then generates maps of statistically plausible storms that are likely to occur with that frequency, including characteristics such as the storm’s size, area of coverage, and intensity of rainfall.
“Someone can say, ‘I’m interested in building things to withstand the risk of an event that happens every 100 years,’” Chang says. “What we can do then is produce thousands of possible realizations that will happen with this sort of rare frequency.”
As long as relevant point statistics and spatial data are available, the method could be applied to visualize other unprecedented events such as extreme floods and wildfires.
“Extreme events have become a strategic concern, not just an environmental one — we’ve optimized global systems for efficiency, and the price of that efficiency is that there’s very little slack left anywhere. A single extreme event propagates through supply chains, energy markets, and food systems in weeks,” Sapsis says. “Being able to put a probability on an event that hasn’t happened yet is now a question of national and economic resilience.”
This research was supported, in part, by a Vannevar Bush Faculty Fellowship and the U.S. Air Force Office of Scientific Research.
Criminal Deception in Silicon Valley
Interesting paper:
Abstract: With entrepreneurial fraud cases on the rise, we investigate how entrepreneurs carry out criminal deception, employing deceptive means to defraud audiences. Analyzing court data from Silicon Valley ventures and their founders prosecuted for fraud between 2000 and 2023, our findings reveal that entrepreneurs carry out criminal deception through a process of façading: Entrepreneurs construct, perform, and protect illusory appearances (façades) that externally project high-growth performance to audiences while masking ventures’ actual underperformance. We identify three forms of façading—surface, reinforced, and deep façading—that are contingent on the severity of the gap that entrepreneurs face between audiences’ performance expectations and ventures’ performance reality. Our theoretical framework captures how entrepreneurs facing minor, wide, and extreme expectation-reality gaps engage in evermore sophisticated efforts to detach the venture’s externally projected appearance from its actual operational reality. Practically, we propose several approaches to deter and detect criminal deception, including the extension of U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission surveillance and whistleblower program, investor due diligence reform, and dedicated entrepreneurship education interventions that clearly demarcate when entrepreneurs transgress into criminal deception. We make contributions to literatures on cultural entrepreneurship, organizational wrongdoing, and the social effects of entrepreneurship. ...
Language skills stay strong in older adults, even while other cognitive abilities decline
As people age, many cognitive functions tend to decline. Brain scanning studies have revealed corresponding changes in the function of a brain network that is involved in many of these cognitive functions, including working memory and problem-solving.
When it comes to language skills, however, the picture is different. Unless impaired by a stroke or dementia, most older people retain their language skills and may even improve them as they steadily gain vocabulary throughout their lives.
A new brain imaging study from an MIT-Boston University collaboration now reveals the neural activity underlying this observation. The researchers found that in older adults, activity of the language processing network is nearly identical to that seen in the brains of younger adults during language tasks.
In contrast, the researchers found that activation patterns in the multiple demand network, a brain system involved in executive control tasks such as decision-making, were very different in older and younger adults.
“In the language network, we couldn’t find any differences between older and younger groups. In contrast, the executive system showed decline across almost all of the measures. The network synchronization declined in older adults, the extent of activation was reduced, and the magnitude of activation was reduced as well,” says Anne Billot, one of the lead authors of the new study, who carried out this work while doing her PhD at BU and is now a postdoc at Harvard University.
The findings suggest that parts of the brain that are specialized for specific functions, such as language processing, may be more resilient to aging than the multiple demand network, a more general-purpose network that has greater flexibility in its function, the researchers say.
Former MIT research assistant Niharika Jhingan is also a lead author of the study, which appears today in Nature Communications. Evelina Fedorenko, an MIT associate professor of brain and cognitive sciences and member of MIT’s McGovern Institute for Brain Research, and Swathi Kiran, the James and Cecilia Tse Ying Professor in Neurorehabilitation at BU, are the paper’s senior co-authors.
The resilience of language
To study the effects of aging on the brain, the researchers looked at two groups of people, ages 17-39 and 41-80. Based on previous studies, they expected that the multiple demand network, which includes several regions in the frontal and parietal lobes of the brain, would look different in the brains of older people.
“It’s well known that executive functions, such as attention, working memory, and cognitive control, tend to decline with age. And it’s also known that in opposition to that, language skills typically tend to remain quite stable or even improve with age,” Billot says. “These two types of functions really go in opposite directions in healthy aging. In terms of behavior, that’s quite well-established, and we wanted to see if that was also the case in the brain.”
In previous studies of the multiple demand network, scientists have found that as people age network activity becomes less synchronized. Some neuroscientists have hypothesized that this may also happen in the language network, but studies haven’t found definitive evidence for this.
The MIT researchers were able to look at both networks by designing tasks that elicit responses primarily in either the language network or the multiple demand network. This allowed them to identify, for each participant, the brain areas that belong to each network.
During a spatial memory task — remembering the location of squares in a grid — the researchers confirmed that the multiple demand network showed altered activity in older adults. Compared to the younger subjects, their networks were smaller and less well-synchronized, and the overall activation level was weaker.
To identify the language network, the researchers had participants listen to stories and read sentences. They found that in both groups, brain activity in response to language showed similar levels and spatial distribution across the network.
They also found that younger and older subjects showed similar brain responses when they encountered an unfamiliar word or an unusual grammatical construction.
“We have previously used similar kinds of materials to show that young adults show strong sensitivity to these points of linguistic difficulty: activity in the language areas goes up. Here we found that in older adults, you also see this sensitivity, which suggests that there’s nothing fundamentally different about how they process language,” Fedorenko says.
A language boost
The researchers also showed that in older people, the language network did not show any signs of becoming less synchronized. Additionally, the network did not show signs that it was blurring together with the multiple demand network, as some neuroscientists have hypothesized might happen.
While this study did not evaluate language ability, other studies have shown that not only do language skills not decline with age, for some people, their language processing improves in older age. This might be because vocabulary and reading skill can continually grow over time, the researchers say.
“Vocabulary keeps increasing as long as people have been measuring, which makes sense. People get exposed to more and more language, and older people sometimes start reading more, so they get an extra boost — it’s like a large language model trained on increasingly more data,” Fedorenko says.
Given these findings, one possible generalization is that parts of the brain that are specialized for particular functions such as language may be less susceptible to age-related decline than the multiple demand network. That network is unique in its ability to give the human brain the flexibility to learn new skills and adapt to new situations.
“The multiple demand network is a different system in the sense that it’s not accumulating knowledge over time. It’s more like a flexible resource that you can deploy in all sorts of ways. And somehow that’s the thing that is more vulnerable to aging,” Fedorenko says. “Why it’s so vulnerable — that is a very good question.”
The research was funded by the National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders, as well as MIT’s McGovern Institute, Simons Center for the Social Brain, Poitras Center for Psychiatric Disorders Research, and Quest for Intelligence.
Climate warming drives thermal shocks and accelerated freshwater habitat fragmentation
Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 August 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02731-9
Assessing 9,809 freshwater fish species globally, this study shows risk to a high proportion of species in the tropics, and severe extremes in non-tropical regions. Under high emissions, gradual warming drives abrupt exposure, with 63% of species facing accelerating thermal fragmentation by 2099.Friday Squid Blogging: Neon Flying Squid
The neon flying squid can fly in formation.
The shoal of about 100 squid rose unexpectedly from a patch of the Pacific Ocean around 370 miles from Tokyo and glided near the boat for about 30 metres. The astonished researchers were the first to capture photographs of such a thing, which looked like the early stages of an alien invasion.
They were probably neon flying squid (Ommastrephes bartramii), the subsequent study states, a species that is part of a 20-strong flying squid family that was known to leap from the water but, until then, was only rumoured to also be able to glide above it...
AI Is Learning to Write Genetic Code
This sort of research is both exciting and terrifying:
The two models in question were told to generate complete genomes for a viable bacteriophage—a type of virus able to infect and replicate itself inside bacteria, destroying them from the inside.
Using an existing bacteriophage as an example—ΦX174 (pronounced “fie-ex-1-7-4”), known for its ability to infect and destroy E. coli bacteria—the models generated about 700,000 potential designs, of which the researchers picked 285 that looked most promising.
The researchers then synthesised new DNA molecules using those designs and inserted them into E. coli bacteria, before waiting to see if viable bacteriophages would emerge...
EFF and Civil Society Groups Call on Nottinghamshire Police to Halt Live Face Recognition
This week, EFF, along with Big Brother Watch, Defend Digital Me, Liberty, Open Rights Group, Race Equality First, Statewatch, and Stopwatch, wrote to Nottinghamshire Police Force in the UK raising concern about the proposed roll-out of live facial recognition technology (LFR), and called for its immediate halt.
In particular, the letter highlights six concerns:
LFR Is Not "Just Another Tool"Nottinghamshire Police has stated that “facial recognition is just another tool to fight crime.” But LFR used in public spaces is an incredibly intrusive biometric mass surveillance technology that scans the faces of everyone who walks past the camera and takes biometric face prints. This is not just another tool, but a major escalation of surveillance that treats everyone as a suspect by default.
People Having "Nothing to Worry About" Does Not Hold to ScrutinyAccording to Nottinghamshire Police, “if you aren’t entering the city or county to commit crime then you have nothing to worry about.” However, many people have legitimate concerns about the normalisation of invasive technologies. So a public that cannot move around their towns and cities without being subjected to a biometric identity check may be less willing to seek medical care or legal advice, speak with journalists, act in a union, vote, protest, or express their gender, sexual or religious identity.
Disproportionate Targeting With LFRWe are particularly concerned to learn that Nottinghamshire Police could deploy LFR to tackle low level crimes, such as youth behavior deemed anti-social, as part of Operation View. Reporting suggests that the force already possesses “a watchlist of young people believed to be causing the most problems,” including children as young as 11 years old. It would be highly disproportionate to deploy live facial recognition to tackle this behaviour. Many of these children are reportedly known to the police, and it is highly likely that there are more proportionate means for locating them.
LFR Could Increase Social ProblemsWe are also concerned that Nottinghamshire Police has not adequately examined the distinct risks of using LFR to target children, including negative impacts on their behaviour and outcomes, risk of recidivism, and relationship with the police. Use of LFR could exacerbate behavioural problems in children and create an adversarial, rather than trusting, relationship with the police from a young age.
Lack of Public SupportRecent polling commissioned by Liberty indicated that 48% of people oppose scanning the faces of those walking on high streets when there is no suspected imminent threat. Furthermore, Opinium found that the majority of people oppose the use of facial recognition in schools. Likewise, a report by the London Policing Ethics Panel found that Londoners aged 16-24 were most likely to find the Metropolitan Police Service’s use of LFR unacceptable and most likely to stay away from events where LFR was in use.
On these grounds, Nottinghamshire Police must immediately halt their plans to use live facial recognition surveillance any further.
Read our full letter here.
The importance of indoor airflow patterns in spreading airborne disease
Tuberculosis (TB) is a leading cause of infectious disease deaths, claiming over 1 million lives every year. It spreads through the air when an infected person coughs, sneezes, or exhales, and drug-resistant strains and asymptomatic spreading are growing concerns. Curbing TB transmission is an urgent public health challenge, yet scientists still don’t understand how airflow and other environmental factors influence that spread.
One problem is that studies of infectious disease transmission have focused mainly on population-level assessments or individual immune responses. But understanding how airflow and mixing influence transmission in indoor spaces requires expertise in fluid physics and computational modeling.
An interdisciplinary team including researchers at MIT and the University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center has now combined animal transmission experiments with quantitative particle tracking and flow modeling to understand how some lab-based environments can promote the spread of respiratory infectious diseases such as TB, while others mitigate that spread.
A key factor in predicting infectious transmission was not just the total ventilation rate but, more importantly, the local pattern of airflow driven by the design — such as air leakage, inflow and outflow locations, and forces created by an infected individual.
“The local airflow patterns turn out to be pivotal,” says Lydia Bourouiba, the Japan Steel Industry Chair Professor at MIT and faculty lead of the Fluid Dynamics of Disease Transmission Laboratory, part of the Fluids and Health Network within the Institute for Medical Engineering and Science (IMES). “Our team’s findings provide some of the clearest evidence I’m aware of showing the importance of accounting for [airflow] inhomogeneity and its effects when designing for airflow detailed patterns. This insight is critical when building or retrofitting an indoor space to mitigate airborne transmission, or when designing an airborne transmission study.”
The research is an important step toward connecting laboratory infectious disease studies with how people spread such diseases in the real world. The team hopes their insights can extend beyond their model system and show the importance of flow physics in building designs to prevent the spread of airborne diseases indoors.
“Despite recent pandemics and epidemics, there is still resistance to incorporating airflow in routine infectious disease prevention tools,” Bourouiba says. “Infrastructure could be retrofitted at relatively low cost, but the paucity and difficulty of gathering direct evidence prevents broader adoption of flow physics as a tool for indoor health. This study helps provide such evidence.”
Joining Bourouiba on a paper about the work are Yash Kulkarni, a postdoc at IMES, who led the fluid and aerosol physics components; Kubra Naqvi, lead author and a postdoc at UT Southwestern; Michael Shiloh, a professor at UT Southwestern, who led the multiyear effort to reestablish a classic tuberculosis transmission model; Hui Ouyang, an assistant professor of aerosol engineering at UT Dallas; Yuhui Guo, Deepak Sapkota, and Arabella Martin, all UT Southwestern PhD students; Pei Lu and Victoria Ektnitphong, research associates at UT Southwestern; Shibo Wang, a University of Minnesota researcher; Beatriz Dias, a UT Southwestern instructor; Bret Evers, an associate professor at UT Southwestern; and Lenette Lu, assistant professor at UT Southwestern.
Opening the black box
When people exhale, talk, cough, or sneeze, tiny microdroplets and bioaerosols launch from their mouths, carried forward by a cloud. If infected by a respiratory disease, these bioaerosols can contain pathogens that can infect others. Disease transmission depends on pathogen survival in the air, which is influenced by temperature, humidity, and ventilation.
In 1882, German physician and microbiologist Robert Koch first established an animal model for the study of tuberculosis pathogenesis. Decades later, researchers demonstrated airborne transmission of tuberculosis between people and animals.
These early experiments have proven difficult to replicate in today’s modern, biosafety-grade facilities. This new study reveals the difficulty comes from stringent containment and ventilation requirements, which can dramatically influence airflow in experiments.
“Host-to-host transmission is an obligatory evolutionary phase of respiratory pathogens, yet it has been considered too intractable or complex to be amenable to systematic investigation, hence is commonly relegated to a black box. Our work opens that black box,” says Bourouiba, who is professor in MIT’s departments of Mechanical and Civil and Environmental Engineering, and an IMES core faculty member.
To quantify how local airflow patterns impact infectious disease transmission, the researchers redesigned and modelled the early studies for modern high-containment lab facilities — including their seal, inflow, outflow, and exhaust pathways — and quantified particle and bacteria-laden particle release and dispersal. They released tracer particles and bacteria into a compartment and modelled recovery from air sampled on the other side under differing airflow rates, designs, and leak configurations.
The MIT team carried out computations, benchmarked against particle release experiments. The results revealed how important seemingly small details such as leakage paths could be.
“Even a small leak could short-circuit the airflow by drawing fresh air directly toward the exhaust, rather than drawing contaminated air across the containment chambers,” says Kulkarni.
Advancing TB research
To date, uneven indoor airflow patterns have not been fully harnessed as part of a risk mitigation strategy.
“By systematically defining how airflow and design influence biological exposure, we were ultimately able to restore transmission and create a system that can now be used to ask fundamental questions about the bacterial, host, and environmental factors that determine tuberculosis spread,” says Naqvi.
“I began working to reestablish this seminal TB animal transmission model nearly 10 years ago, and it proved far more challenging than I anticipated,” says Shiloh. “I hope this work serves as a reminder that meaningful scientific advances often require patience and perseverance.”
“This work illustrates how crucial it is to support synergistic collaborations integrating complementary disciplines to tackle research bottlenecks — and to standardize reporting norms across laboratories,” Bourouiba says. “If different labs have varying airflow patterns from uncontrolled leaks or seal details, that physical variability can overwhelm the biological signals researchers seek. Beyond its foundational impact for TB transmission studies, our work shows that opening the black box of transmission provides mechanistic insights: Detailed airflow pattern control can enhance or mitigate airborne transmission — making it exploitable as a prevention measure in crowded gathering spaces.”
This work was supported, in part, by the National Institutes of Health, the National Science Foundation, the Burroughs Wellcome Fund, MathWorks, and the Translational Research Institute for Space Health.
