Nature Climate Change

Subscribe to Nature Climate Change feed Nature Climate Change
Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 2 hours 18 min ago

Incorporating aridity in soil carbon stewardship frameworks

Tue, 02/25/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 25 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02270-9

Stewardship of soil carbon sits at the nexus of efforts to mitigate climate change, improve soil health and increase climate resiliency of agricultural production. Unlocking the full potential of soils to support a sustainable future requires embracing the unique and contrasting realities of soil carbon dynamics in arid versus humid systems.

Extreme weather events have strong but different impacts on plant and insect phenology

Fri, 02/21/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02248-7

Using community data of 581 angiosperm and 172 Lepidoptera species, the authors consider the impacts of extreme weather events (EWE) on the timing of life events (phenology). They show high responsiveness of phenology to EWEs and highlight the potential for EWEs to drive phenological mismatches.

Urbanization’s impact on soil carbon

Thu, 02/20/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 20 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02264-7

As urban extent continues to grow, the impact this major land-use change has on soils and their carbon stocks is an increasingly important question. A recent global study suggests that the effects are not straightforward.

The role of cross- and interdisciplinary climate research centres

Wed, 02/19/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02249-6

Climate research centres provide valuable support to scholars wanting to engage with interdisciplinary research. Fully leveraging this support requires strategic individual efforts. We outline how scholars can achieve collaborative synergy at the intersection of top-down institutional support and bottom-up individual action.

Atmospheric circulation to constrain subtropical precipitation projections

Tue, 02/18/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 18 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02266-5

The degree to which the tropical circulation changes with warming is not well known. Here, the authors use an emergent constraint to show that the tropical Hadley circulation is weakening more intensely than previously thought, resulting in stronger precipitation increases in subtropical regions.

Author Correction: Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO<sub>2</sub> uptake

Mon, 02/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02279-0

Author Correction: Wildfires offset the increasing but spatially heterogeneous Arctic–boreal CO2 uptake

Author Correction: Carbon burial in sediments below seaweed farms matches that of Blue Carbon habitats

Fri, 02/14/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 14 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02278-1

Author Correction: Carbon burial in sediments below seaweed farms matches that of Blue Carbon habitats

Preserving carbon dioxide removal to serve critical needs

Fri, 02/14/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 14 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02251-y

Land-based carbon dioxide removals are critical for meeting the low-warming targets, yet their availability is limited when avoiding excessive risks to sustainability. Scenario-based analysis suggests that they should only be used to compensate for emissions from hard-to-abate sectors and overshoot.

Surface ocean losing resilience to thermal stress

Thu, 02/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02263-8

Satellite observations suggest a slowdown in the decay of sea surface temperature anomalies over the past four decades, coinciding with an increase in the duration of marine heatwaves. This change is probably linked to factors such as stronger upper-ocean stratification, a deepening mixed layer and weakening oceanic forcing.

Intensified Atlantic multidecadal variability in a warming climate

Thu, 02/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02252-x

This study uses available models to show intensified Atlantic multidecadal variability under global warming. Warmer and fresher waters, along with slowed overturning circulation, reduce the mixed layer, intensifying sea surface temperature variability, suggesting increased global climate extremes.

Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold

Mon, 02/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02247-8

The 12 months before July 2024 were more than 1.5 °C warmer than the pre-industrial baseline. Using climate models, the author shows that the first year that exceeds 1.5 °C of warming most probably also occurs within the first 20-year period with an average temperature that exceeds temperature targets.

A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit

Mon, 02/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9

What a first year with temperature 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial baseline implies for long-term temperature goals is unclear. Here the authors show that such a first year above the baseline is highly likely to occur within the first 20-year period with average warming of 1.5 °C.

Uniformity of climate anxiety scales

Fri, 02/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02261-w

Uniformity of climate anxiety scales

Plants countering downpours

Fri, 02/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02262-9

Plants countering downpours

Thermal impacts on aquatic fertility

Fri, 02/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02260-x

Thermal impacts on aquatic fertility

Ineffective carbon offset

Fri, 02/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02259-4

Ineffective carbon offset

Observed multi-decadal increase in the surface ocean’s thermal inertia

Thu, 02/06/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 06 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02245-w

Analysis of 42 years of daily sea surface temperature data shows increasing persistence of anomalies. These changes, which are attributed to deepening of the mixed layer, reduced oceanic forcing and reduced damping associated with stronger stratification, have implications for marine heatwave duration.

Mapping global financial risks under climate change

Wed, 02/05/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02244-x

Climate change will impact financial stability, but the quantitative evidence on the magnitude of such risks is still rare. With a forward-looking structural credit-risk model, researchers map how physical risks can be amplified through financial leverage and generate cross-border climate risks.

Representing gender inequality in scenarios improves understanding of climate challenges

Tue, 02/04/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 04 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

This Perspective highlights links between gender inequality and climate change adaptation and mitigation, and proposes a roadmap for incorporating gender issues into the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. These scenarios could help understand challenges under diverse trajectories of gender equality.

Reconciling widely varying estimates of the global economic impacts from climate change

Mon, 02/03/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 February 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-024-02232-7

Assessments of the aggregate impacts of climate change on the global economy are widely varying and diverge depending on the method employed. It is essential to understand the mechanisms behind the differing estimates and identify a robust range. Only then could these estimates meaningfully inform and guide climate actions.

Pages