Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 14 min 11 sec ago

Regional conditions determine thresholds of accelerated Antarctic basal melt in climate projection

Thu, 04/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02306-0

Melting from below is crucial for the future evolution of Antarctic ice shelves. Here the authors use an Earth system model with explicit simulations of ice-shelf cavities to show how regional hydrography and topography determine when an ice shelf will undergo rapid melting.

Decarbonization can improve energy security

Wed, 04/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02317-x

Moving towards net-zero carbon emissions reduces reliance on fossil fuels but requires geographically concentrated materials for clean energy technologies. Now research finds countries can reduce emerging materials risks by expanding trading partnerships.

Trade risks to energy security in net-zero emissions energy scenarios

Wed, 04/09/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 09 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02305-1

Trade risks associated with fossil fuels and critical materials matter for energy security, and will evolve with the low-carbon transition. Here the researchers find that overall trade risks decrease for most countries in net-zero scenarios, although risks to electricity or transportation sectors may increase.

Silence among farmers

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02320-2

Silence among farmers

Humans fuel stronger cyclones

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02321-1

Humans fuel stronger cyclones

Attributing soybean production shocks

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02319-9

Attributing soybean production shocks

Regulation on conglomerates

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02322-0

Regulation on conglomerates

Data under duress

Mon, 04/07/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 07 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02323-z

Climate change and climate action are socially and politically divisive topics in many countries. In addition to contributing to political disparity, climate research is also affected by political context, with consequences not only for scientists but for society as well.

The emotional toll of fieldwork

Fri, 04/04/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 04 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02301-5

The emotional toll of fieldwork

Enhance responsible governance to match the scale and pace of marine–climate interventions

Thu, 04/03/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02292-3

Oceans are on the frontline of an array of new marine–climate actions that are both poorly understood and under-regulated. Development and deployment of these interventions is outpacing governance readiness to address risks and ensure responsible transformation and effective action.

Novel marine-climate interventions hampered by low consensus and governance preparedness

Thu, 04/03/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02291-4

Oceans are on the front line of new planned climate actions, but understanding of novel marine-climate intervention development and deployment remains low. Here a survey among intervention practitioners allows identification of science and governance gaps for marine-climate interventions.

China’s carbon sinks from land-use change underestimated

Tue, 04/01/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 01 April 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02296-z

The terrestrial carbon flux—sources and sinks—under land-use change (LUC) is difficult to quantify. Here, using a LUC dataset drawing on remote sensing and forest inventory data, the authors show that in China the carbon sink from LUC (such as afforestation) may be underestimated.

Constrained Earth system models show a stronger reduction in future Northern Hemisphere snowmelt water

Fri, 03/28/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 28 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02308-y

Many climate models overestimate the snow amount in the Northern Hemisphere despite strong warming. Here the authors find that light snowfall and snow melting processes drive this mismatch and use these relationships to constrain future projections of snow water resources.

Global distribution, quantification and valuation of the biological carbon pump

Thu, 03/27/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02295-0

This study quantifies and values the carbon stored in the ocean due to biological processes. With uptake in the order of 2.8 Gt per year, valued at around US$1 trillion annually (at a carbon price of US$90 per ton of CO2), this service should be included in the global stocktake and climate actions.

Drought hinders the advance of spring phenology through ecosystem memory effects

Wed, 03/26/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02274-5

Analysis of satellite observations and in situ phenology records revealed a delayed onset of spring after drought in northern ecosystems. These delays are regulated by both endogenous memory within plants and exogenous memory of the environment, with the latter having a dominant role.

Peatland microalgae are unsung heroes of climate change mitigation

Wed, 03/26/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02272-7

Under climate warming, increased microbial carbon emissions could diminish the vast carbon stores held in northern peatlands. This large-scale experimental study reveals that warming amplifies carbon uptake by peatland microalgae and partially offsets warming-related increases in microbial carbon emissions.

Coastal investment in the age of climate change

Wed, 03/26/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02299-w

Cities have historically benefitted from coastal access, but sea-level rise may turn this advantage into a vulnerability. Government investment should account for future climate risks.

Fossil fuel subsidy reforms have become more fragile

Wed, 03/26/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 26 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02283-4

Governments around the world have pledged to reduce fossil fuel subsidies, yet the actual implementation has not been measured. With a unique dataset and approach, researchers find since 2016 there are more frequent reforms, yet most of them do not survive over 12 months.

Rising temperatures reduce the predictability of agricultural drought

Tue, 03/25/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 25 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02290-5

Drought predictability has a large impact on climate adaptation plans, but its future changes are often unknown. A drought predictability model reveals that increases in global temperatures of 2 °C or 3 °C would cause a significant (p < 0.1) decrease in the dynamic predictability of agricultural drought in more than 70% of the global land area.

Food security or climate action

Mon, 03/24/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 March 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02297-y

Limiting global warming to 1.5 °C requires aggressive climate pledges, but their impact on land-use strategies remains underexplored. Now, a study reveals that these commitments may drive large-scale cropland loss, intensifying food security risks, especially in the global south.

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