Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 2 hours 19 min ago

Methane eaters cannot speed up enough

Fri, 06/05/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02656-3

Global warming boosts freshwater methane production. Now, a study shows that methane oxidizing bacteria cannot increase their methane consumption rates enough in response to warming-induced enhancement of methane availability, leading to higher emissions.

Blue carbon projects must uphold the land and sea rights of coastal peoples

Fri, 06/05/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02643-8

Blue carbon brings new interest in the land and sea rights of coastal communities, small-scale fishers and Indigenous peoples. While promises of climate mitigation, conservation and economic benefits are compelling, blue carbon projects must uphold local agency and rights as a legal and ethical duty, not just as conditional for project approval.

A fixed methane filter maximizes freshwater emissions under warming

Fri, 06/05/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02649-2

How the balance of microbial methane production and oxidation in freshwater systems will change with warming is unclear. This study uses natural warming experiments to demonstrate that methane emissions increase because oxidation keeps pace with, but cannot exceed, warming-accelerated production.

Respecting tenure and the bundle of rights in blue carbon guidance

Fri, 06/05/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 05 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02651-8

Blue carbon projects are expanding, yet their implications for tenure security remain uncertain. Analysis of 122 guidance documents reveals that rights are narrowly interpreted and key international obligations are overlooked, leaving rightsholders vulnerable to dispossession and exclusion.

Shifting hail hazard under global warming and effects on crop hail risk

Wed, 06/03/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02660-7

How hailstorms change with warming is not well understood. Here the authors use global projections with different hail proxies to show that hail-prone conditions shift polewards under warming, also shifting crop risk related to hail hazards.

Grassland restoration increases crop yields through local climate regulation

Wed, 06/03/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02663-4

The authors assess the impacts of China’s Grassland Ecological Compensation Policy on climate and maize yields. They demonstrate reduced temperature and increased precipitation, which are linked to increased crop yields that partially offset restoration costs.

High-latitude Southern Ocean warming hotspot induced by ocean mesoscale eddies

Wed, 06/03/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 03 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02652-7

The Southern Ocean is important for anthropogenic heat uptake, and this regional analysis shows an area with enhanced warming in the high-latitude Indian sector. Model analyses indicate that mesoscale eddies drive upward heat transport, linked to a strengthening of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current.

Incorporating air quality health impacts into the social cost of carbon

Thu, 05/28/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 28 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02653-6

Climate change worsens air pollution, posing major health risks, yet current social cost of carbon (SCC) models exclude these damages. This Review outlines a framework for including air quality impacts in the SCC and reviews existing evidence to inform near-term modelling efforts.

Leveraging agency for climate change mitigation

Wed, 05/27/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02644-7

Climate debates often frame individual behaviour and systems change as distinct pathways to action. We suggest that social change arises from individuals’ agency within their roles in societal systems, and that this agency should be actively leveraged to achieve meaningful climate change mitigation.

Author Correction: Atmospheric warming contributions from airborne microplastics and nanoplastics

Fri, 05/22/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02667-0

Author Correction: Atmospheric warming contributions from airborne microplastics and nanoplastics

Critical dependence of global ocean heat monitoring on the ocean observing system

Fri, 05/22/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02661-6

International collaboration has facilitated a global ocean observing system, providing data to measure ocean heat content at a resolution that enables the tracking of climate change. This study looks at the contributing nations and the risks to the network under the current political and economic climate.

The window to avoid locking in decades of steel emissions is closing fast

Thu, 05/21/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02634-9

Coal-based steel plants risk locking in 60 billion tonnes of CO2 by 2070, but most of these emissions can still be avoided at moderate cost. Steel need not be hard to decarbonize: policymakers must seize the narrow window to redirect investments towards cleaner alternatives this decade.

Averting the steel carbon lock-in through strategic green investments

Thu, 05/21/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02635-8

New steel capacity expansion is critical for the feasibility of climate targets, as plants operate for decades. Researchers estimate that while existing and planned plants could commit large emissions, strategic investments using climate finance can largely avert this.

Personal experiences matter for climate action

Tue, 05/19/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02640-x

Climate change impacts are no longer distant but have entered people’s everyday experiences. Here we look back on a 2011 paper that showed how direct personal experience shapes people’s climate change perceptions, their beliefs about the efficacy of their action and willingness to act, and how the field of research has evolved.

Seabird range contraction and dispersal under climate change

Tue, 05/19/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02655-4

The authors reconstruct historical seabird dispersal routes, showing that birds responded to temperature shifts by changes in range size rather than body mass. These trends are projected to persist, with higher rates of warming causing greater range contractions and longer dispersal distances.

Warming erodes climate connectivity for terrestrial vertebrates

Mon, 05/18/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 18 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02658-1

The authors consider connectivity—specifically, the functional effectiveness of climate connectivity (FECC)—under climate change. Under high emissions (SSP5-8.5), FECC is projected to decline across 77% of the global land area by 2061–2080, risking ecological isolation and subsequent biodiversity loss.

Social inequalities mediate temperature–child maltreatment associations in Africa

Fri, 05/15/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 15 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02650-9

The link between temperature and child maltreatment in Africa remains unexplored. This study demonstrates a substantial association, particularly among socio-economically disadvantaged families, driven by behavioural changes, occupational exposure and reduced household resources.

Future changes in seasonal sea-level variability could reshape coastal ecosystems

Wed, 05/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02631-y

Assessments of coastal ecosystem resilience typically consider the impacts of annual mean sea-level rise, while increases in the seasonal sea-level cycle could also affect intertidal ecosystems. The authors show how such increases can threaten intertidal zones through altering the frequency and duration of inundation and emergence events.

Understanding and reducing the intention–behaviour gap in climate action

Wed, 05/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02630-z

Climate-friendly intentions do not always translate into action. This Review synthesizes evidence on the intrapersonal, social and structural mechanisms underlying this gap and outlines interventions that offer actionable strategies to close it.

Increasing atmospheric dryness and storms accelerates biomass turnover in Amazonian forests

Wed, 05/13/2026 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02639-4

The carbon sink of tropical forests is in part constrained by biomass turnover. This study assesses aboveground biomass turnover in the Amazon and finds that convective storms are the main driver of spatial variation in turnover and future climate impacts will lead to accelerated biomass turnover.

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