Nature Climate Change

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Nature Climate Change is a monthly journal dedicated to publishing high-quality research papers that describe the most significant and cutting-edge research on the causes, impacts and wider implications of global climate change. The journal publishes climate research across the physical, biological and social sciences and strives to integrate and communicate interdisciplinary research. The journal aims to play a leading role in: providing accessibility to a broad audience to research published both within and outside the journal; raising the visibility of climate change research in related research communities as well as the mainstream media; and offering a forum for discussion of the challenges faced by researchers and policy makers (and other interested parties) in understanding the complex mechanisms and impacts associated with the Earth’s changing climate.
Updated: 14 min 13 sec ago

Multi-century global and regional sea-level rise commitments from cumulative greenhouse gas emissions in the coming decades

Fri, 10/24/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 24 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02452-5

It is important to understand how much long-term sea-level rise is already committed due to historical and near-term emissions. Here the authors use a modelling framework to show how decisions on global emissions reductions in the coming decades alter multi-century sea-level rise projections.

Balancing simplicity and complexity through corporate emissions benchmarking

Thu, 10/23/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 23 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02467-y

Standardized quantitative emissions benchmarking is essential for corporate climate accountability, yet recent literature has critiqued this approach. We argue for structured pluralism with budget compliance — balancing methodological flexibility while preserving the disciplining power of carbon budgets.

Duplicating genomes to survive the heat

Thu, 10/23/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 23 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02454-3

Marine diatoms, tiny algae that underpin ocean food webs, face rising ocean temperatures. Now, a study shows that genome duplication helps diatoms adapt faster to warming, reshaping our understanding of phytoplankton resilience in a changing ocean.

Polyploidization in diatoms accelerates adaptation to warming

Thu, 10/23/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 23 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02464-1

The authors obtained large-volume individuals of diatom cultures under thermal stress. These polyploids (having more than two sets of chromosomes) are shown to rapidly adapt to high temperatures, highlighting polyploidization as a possible adaptive measure for diatoms under climate change.

Heatwaves worsen educational inequality in Brazil

Wed, 10/22/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02469-w

Heatwaves worsen educational inequality in Brazil

Emissions reductions of rooftop solar are overstated by approaches that inadequately capture substitution effects

Wed, 10/22/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02459-y

Emissions reductions of rooftop solar are overstated by approaches that inadequately capture substitution effects

The carbon hoofprint of cities is shaped by geography and production in the livestock supply chain

Mon, 10/20/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 20 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02450-7

Meat products represent a large share of the carbon footprints of cities, which are dependent on the characteristics of supply regions. With spatially explicit data, researchers show how the so-called carbon hoofprint varies between cities due to the different carbon intensities of producing regions.

Identifying critical intervention points for the prevention of cascading climate impacts

Mon, 10/20/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 20 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02456-1

Bridging traditional disciplinary silos, a study has mapped cascading climate risks to the European Union through stakeholder-co-produced impact chains and network analysis. It provides country-specific risk profiles by identifying critical intervention points — such as water, livelihoods or violent conflict — to support policy coherence in addressing interconnected vulnerabilities and guiding targeted adaptation.

Abrupt thaw alters phosphorus cycling in alpine tundra

Fri, 10/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02466-z

The impacts of permafrost thaw are widespread across tundra landscapes. Now, research across a series of thermokarst landscapes on the Tibetan Plateau shows that abrupt permafrost thaw increases plant-available phosphorus, alters the vegetation community and tips the balance of belowground nutrient competition.

Accelerated soil phosphorus cycling upon abrupt permafrost thaw

Fri, 10/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02445-4

The response of the phosphorus (P) cycle to permafrost thaw is unknown, but has implications for carbon dynamics. This study assesses changes in the P cycle upon abrupt thaw and shows accelerated soil P cycling and increased plant uptake, which may boost primary production and partially offset soil carbon loss.

Southern Ocean freshening stalls deep ocean CO<sub>2</sub> release in a changing climate

Fri, 10/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02446-3

The Southern Ocean carbon sink is predicted to decline under climate change. This study explores why this is yet to be seen in observations, finding that recent surface freshening increases stratification and traps the CO2-rich water in the subsurface layer, which prevents atmospheric outgassing.

Damage development on Antarctic ice shelves sensitive to climate warming

Fri, 10/17/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02453-4

Damages such as crevasses or cracks can be early indicators of ice shelf weakening. Here, the authors quantify changes in damage structures in Antarctic ice sheets, which show sensitivity to warming

Critical intervention points for European adaptation to cascading climate change impacts

Thu, 10/16/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02455-2

Impacts from a climate event can cascade through natural, anthropogenic and socio-economic systems. Here the authors assess cascading climate impacts on the EU and identify intervention points for adaptation related to water, livelihoods, agriculture, infrastructure and economy, and violent conflict.

Towards an open model intercomparison platform for integrated assessment models scenarios

Thu, 10/16/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02462-3

Scenarios, generated by integrated assessment models in model intercomparison projects (MIPs), play a central role in climate decision-making. This Perspective discusses the challenges of the current approach and proposes a new MIP platform with a transparent and inclusive process.

Mountain glaciers will lose their cooling capacity as they shrink

Wed, 10/15/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 15 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02448-1

Glacier microclimates can decouple glacier temperatures from ongoing climatic warming, slowing down melting. However, these microclimates will decay as glaciers retreat. A statistical model indicates that by the latter half of the twenty-first century, the temperature of glaciers will be increasingly sensitive to fluctuations in atmospheric temperature.

Generative AI can influence climate beliefs and actions

Mon, 10/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02438-3

The rise of generative AI presents both risks and opportunities for shaping climate discourse. New findings suggest it can help lower climate scepticism and bolster support for climate action.

Using generative AI to increase sceptics’ engagement with climate science

Mon, 10/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02424-9

Climate sceptics tend to avoid climate information, making it even harder to reduce scepticism. This study shows that generative AI can enhance sceptics’ engagement with climate news by tailoring headlines to their existing perspective and shift their beliefs towards the scientific consensus.

World Heritage documents reveal persistent gaps between climate awareness and local action

Mon, 10/13/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02461-4

Climate risk increasingly threatens World Heritage sites, yet its integration into conservation planning remains underexplored. By analysing 1,868 World Heritage documents, this study reveals regional disparities of climate awareness and highlights the gap between awareness and action.

Mountain glaciers recouple to atmospheric warming over the twenty-first century

Fri, 10/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02449-0

It has been argued that air temperatures over mountain glaciers are decoupled from surrounding warming, which could slow down melting. Here the authors show that this effect will weaken with future glacier retreat, leading to a recoupling of temperatures from the 2030s onwards.

The interplay of future emissions and geophysical uncertainties for projections of sea-level rise

Fri, 10/10/2025 - 12:00am

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 10 October 2025; doi:10.1038/s41558-025-02457-0

Unclear emissions and ice-sheet processes drive uncertainties in future sea-level rise. The authors show that the timing of emissions reductions drives the uncertainties during the twenty-first century, but geophysical uncertainties become more important with time, especially under optimistic scenarios.

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